Every year, the spring accompanies with it sky-touching home prices,
and summer comparatively low as that of spring. This time, Toronto is finally
able to cope-up with the issue by balancing the houses’ price in each season.
But the question is, will it be going to last forever? Or is it just a matter
of few years?
Derek Holt, head of capital markets
economics at Scotiabank, has a totally different mindset. He declares in his
recent jotting, “Toronto’s prices are down in year-ago terms, and will probably
follow the pattern observed in Vancouver where prices are recovering from the
immediate aftermath of the foreign buyers’ tax.”
Observance in the house prices in
Vancouver have declined after the launched of foreign buyer tax in summer 2016
by the provincial government. But soon the prices seemed to recover, and are
now beating the pre-tax levels. Derek Holt suspects that this may be the same
case in the cause of Toronto. And Toronto may march on the same path as that of
Vancouver.
A statement of Tim Syrianos was
recorded, Toronto Real Estate Board president, about the Toronto’s house prices.
He says, “Similar to the Greater Vancouver experience, the impact of the
Ontario Fair Housing Plan and particularly the foreign buyer tax may be
starting to wane.”
During a research conducted on
the home price index which showed that the overall standard price was up to 8.4
percent in November per annum, included in it, sales and schedules which were
also high.
In another statement of Tim
Syrianos he says, “We have seen an uptick in demand for ownership housing in
the GTA this fall, over and above the regular seasonal trend.”
As per the instincts of Benjamin
Tal, CIBC Senior Economist, “the rush in demand is all part of growing housing
unaffordability in the GTA, driven by a lack of supply.”
He also adds, “Without dealing
with the real fundamental issues facing the GTA, these policy changes are able
to provide only temporary relief.”
As per the words of Tal, it seems
that provincial growth policies restrict the availability of functional areas,
leading to the substantial loss of a number of lands in the GTA. Only 15
percent, out of total 338,000 hectares, is available as a low mass housing
buildout. These extensive programs cannot be scheduled over a short notice of
weeks or months, but it could require years and years to appear on the market
list.
Some other words of Tal, “If you
look at the long-term trajectory, and where prices will be, say, 10 years from
now, I think they will be increasingly more and more unaffordable to the
average Canadian.”
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